Historically, Bitcoin tends to establish its monthly high or low within the first twelve days of the month over 80% of the time. This pattern presents an interesting opportunity for traders and investors alike, particularly as we enter September—a month known for its volatility.
According to Daan Crypto Trades, a full-time trader and analyst, it has often been a beneficial strategy to wait out the initial days of the month. “The first few days typically exhibit choppy price action, complemented by a plethora of shakeouts,” he shared. While he noted that the seasonality for September may not be favorable, he remains optimistic about the months of October and November, which historically yield stronger performance. “Any significant dip early this month should be closely monitored,” Daan added.
$BTC A new month ahead.
Statistics say that Bitcoin sets its monthly high or low within the first 12 days of the month 80%+ of the times.
It’s been a good strategy to wait out the first few days of the month as it generally sees choppy price action with a lot of shakeouts.… pic.twitter.com/Bzx9eE0h7w
— Daan Crypto Trades (@DaanCrypto) September 1, 2025
September has historically been a bearish month for Bitcoin. According to data from CoinGlass, Bitcoin has declined in eight of the last twelve Septembers. Given the current trends and the larger market dynamics, it is essential to consider the likelihood of another negative month. For instance, BTC witnessed a drop of more than 7% during previous bull years, such as 2017 and 2021. If the historical trend continues, we might see Bitcoin sliding to just over $100,000 by the end of this month.
“Historically, September has been the worst month for Bitcoin, with an average return of -3.47% over the past 13 years,” observed analyst Mags.
#Bitcoin – Buy in September, Sell in November ?
Historically, September has been the worst month for Bitcoin, with an average return of -3.47% over the past 13 years, while October and November have been the most bullish months for Bitcoin. pic.twitter.com/ATDGuvNYnZ
— Mags (@thescalpingpro) September 1, 2025
In the short term, predictions from ‘Crypto Caesar’ indicate the possibility of a bounce from current levels, but there are concerns that a continued downward trend could push BTC back to support around the $100,000 mark. “Bitcoin is currently hovering right on the short-term holder realized price,” noted CryptoQuant analyst JA Maartun, highlighting this as a pivotal support/resistance level to watch closely.
Adding complexity to the landscape, none of the CoinGlass Bitcoin bull market indicators have yet signaled, suggesting that any current decline may be attributed to a seasonal correction rather than a dramatic shift in the market sentiment.
BTC Price Outlook
On a positive note, Bitcoin recently experienced a 2.5% rise, allowing it to reclaim the $110,000 mark for the first time since last Friday. However, after bouncing off an intraday low of $107,500 to reach $110,500 during early Asian trading on Tuesday, it appears BTC may be encountering resistance at this level.
Currently, Bitcoin remains approximately 11% below its all-time high, a relatively shallow dip compared to previous September corrections, yet as the month progresses, the landscape remains unpredictable.
For more information on Bitcoin’s performance and market predictions, visit CryptoPotato.
