Bitcoin’s Surge: Are We on the Cusp of a New Bull Cycle?

New bull cycle? Bitcoin's return to $100K hints at ‘significant price move’

Key points:

  • Bitcoin’s realized cap is beating records and has almost reached the $900 billion mark.
  • The market is laying the foundations for a “potentially significant price breakout,” new analysis says.
  • Profit-taking is not hindering the overall bull market rebound.

Bitcoin (BTC) is witnessing a historic surge in network value, with price action signaling a return to six figures. According to data from on-chain analytics platform CryptoQuant, we are observing unprecedented highs in Bitcoin’s realized cap, reflecting a robust market sentiment.

Realized Cap: A Measure of Growing Conviction

The realized cap gives insight into Bitcoin’s market value, calculated based on the last recorded movement of its extant supply on-chain. This metric has reached an impressive $891 billion as of May 7, marking a continuous upward trend since mid-April.

Carmelo Alemán, a contributor at CryptoQuant, noted in a recent blog post: “Bitcoin has experienced a steady flow of capital inflows in recent weeks, reflecting renewed interest from investors.” This trend indicates a significant long-term market shift across Bitcoin investors, highlighting a growing confidence in its potential as a financial asset.

“With sustained accumulation from both long-term holders (LTHs) and short-term holders (STHs), the market seems to be laying a solid foundation for a potentially significant price breakout. If this trend continues, we could be witnessing the early stages of a new bull cycle for Bitcoin.”

Bitcoin realized cap
Bitcoin realized cap. Source: CryptoQuant

Ongoing BTC Capital Influx Since 2023

Concerns about the current market rebound have been noted, particularly regarding profit-taking, which some skeptics argue may threaten price stability. Furthermore, both LTHs and STHs are capitalizing on the opportunity to secure profits, which have averaged $1 billion daily.

As highlighted in Glassnode’s latest newsletter, the market conditions appear to be balanced around the $100,000 mark. “A surge in profit-taking can be observed in recent weeks, with the recent rally attracting over $1B/day in net capital inflows,” the report stated.

“This points to initial indicators of a return of demand-side strength, allowing sellers to lock in profits, and signifies buyers willing to acquire coins at current market prices. Overall, this creates a wave of demand that absorbs incoming supply.”

Bitcoin net realized profit/loss
Bitcoin net realized profit/loss (screenshot). Source: Glassnode

Glassnode concluded that the pursuit of profits has extended over 18 months, reiterating that the market has been in a profit-driven regime since October 2023. The continuous influx of fresh capital serves as a promising signal for market health.

This article does not offer investment advice or recommendations. Any investment carries risks, and readers are recommended to conduct their own research before making decisions.

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