Avalanche’s Stablecoin Surge: A Double-Edged Sword for AVAX Demand

Avalanche has witnessed a remarkable increase in stablecoin supply over the past year, growing over 70% from $1.5 billion in March 2024 to more than $2.5 billion by March 31, 2025. This surge in stablecoins is often interpreted as a positive signal, indicating increased investor interest and potential buying power in the cryptocurrency market.

However, despite this influx of stablecoins, the value of Avalanche’s native token, AVAX, has experienced a significant downtrend, falling nearly 60% to trade above $19. This contradiction raises critical questions about the dynamics of stablecoin supply and the actual utility and demand for AVAX within the DeFi ecosystem.

Market capitalization of stablecoins on Avalanche. Source: Avalanche
Market capitalization of stablecoins on Avalanche. Source: Avalanche

Stablecoins serve as a vital bridge between traditional fiat currencies and the burgeoning world of cryptocurrencies. Typically, an increase in stablecoin supply is seen as a precursor to growing demand for riskier assets such as AVAX. Yet the current market dynamics suggest that a considerable portion of this stablecoin influx is being held as inactive liquidity, rather than being actively deployed into Avalanche’s DeFi landscape.

Juan Pellicer, a senior research analyst at IntoTheBlock, notes, “A significant amount of these inflows comprises bridged Tether (USDT), appearing more as an inactive treasury rather than capital being utilized within Avalanche’s ecosystem for lending or trading activities. Consequently, if this capital isn’t engaged in DeFi processes that would typically bolster AVAX demand, its mere existence won’t stimulate a price increase for the token.”​

AVAX/USD 1-year chart. Source: Cointelegraph Markets Pro
AVAX/USD, 1-year chart. Source: Cointelegraph Markets Pro

This trend occurs amidst broader market corrections, further exacerbated by overall investor sentiment shaped by geopolitical uncertainties, particularly concerning trade relations. The upcoming announcement of reciprocal import tariffs in the U.S. is generating additional anxiety among market participants.

Analysts from Nansen predict a 70% chance that the overall cryptocurrency market could reach a bottom by June, contingent upon improved market conditions as trade negotiations progress. This presents a potential window for recovery across both traditional and cryptocurrency markets.

In summary, while the increasing stablecoin supply on Avalanche appears to signal positive market sentiment, the lack of active deployment within the network’s DeFi ecosystem raises concerns about the tangible demand for AVAX. As the cryptocurrency landscape evolves, it will be crucial for investors to pay close attention to these dynamics, particularly how stablecoins are used within the ecosystem and their implications for token prices moving forward.

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